Human rights violations predict atrocities

Human rights abuses escalate predictably before atrocities.

Why it matters

  • Predictable rights violations signal atrocities.
  • Early detection enables prevention.

By the numbers

  • Record 47 atrocities in 2022.
  • Over 30 countries face state-led atrocities annually.

The big picture

  • Predictable patterns allow early intervention.
  • Global issue requires monitoring and action.

What they're saying

  • Study linked; skepticism on U.S. relevance.
  • Historical parallels noted.

Caveats

  • Study ongoing; model updates likely.
  • Some violations (e.g., women's rights) not fully covered.

What’s next

  • Scoring 2023 data and planning activist guidebook.
  • Studying timeline from violations to atrocities.