Interpersonal networks fuel Trump shooting conspiracy theories

People are more likely to believe conspiracy theories about the Trump assassination attempt if they hear them from people they know, a study finds.

Why it matters

  • Highlights the role of personal networks in spreading conspiracy theories.
  • Challenges the assumption that social media is the primary driver of conspiracy beliefs.

By the numbers

  • Survey of 2,765 U.S. adults.
  • 41% heard the theory about Democratic operatives; 29% believed it.
  • 53% heard the theory that the event was staged; 29% believed it.

The big picture

  • Interpersonal networks influence belief more strongly than social media.
  • Social media spreads conspiracy theories but doesn't necessarily increase belief.

What they're saying

  • Some call for a thorough investigation to reduce speculation.
  • Skepticism about the event being staged is evident in comments.
  • Partisan beliefs shape attitudes towards conspiracy theories.

Caveats

  • Non-probability sample may not fully represent the U.S. population.
  • Observational study cannot determine causation.

What’s next

  • Further research could explore the dynamics of conspiracy belief formation.