Wildfire smoke far deadlier than thought.

Wildfire smoke's death toll underestimated by 93%, study finds.

Why it matters

  • Wildfire smoke is far more dangerous than previously believed.
  • Health impacts significantly underestimated.

By the numbers

  • 535 average annual deaths in Europe from wildfire smoke (2004-2022).
  • Expected deaths under standard methods: 38 per year.
  • Mortality rises 0.7% (all-cause), 1% (respiratory), 0.9% (cardiovascular) per extra microgram of PM2.5.

The big picture

  • Wildfires contribute significantly to air pollution deaths.
  • Climate change increases wildfire occurrence and intensity.

What they're saying

  • Wildfire particles have stronger health impacts than assumed (Prof. Cathryn Tonne).
  • Wildfires increasing with climate change (Prof. Antonio Gasparrini).

Caveats

  • Study only looked at short-term effects.
  • Data variability and ozone separation limitations.

What’s next

  • More wildfires expected with climate change.
  • Wildfire impacts spreading northward in Europe.